Robert Baharian
The Consumer is Doing Just Fine
Allow me to pull back the curtain and give you a snippet into how the consumer is trending right now. US households are in excellent...
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A wider perspective.
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Robert Baharian
May 7, 20232 min read
The Market Just Cemented a Bottom
Everyone loves a bear market - especially the talking heads you see on TV. Bull markets are harder to love. The narrative of the bears...
Robert Baharian
Apr 30, 20233 min read
The 60/40 Portfolio is Dead
Hello. I don't recall having as many school holidays when I was a child as my two children do, and certainly not for as long! After...
Robert Baharian
Apr 3, 20232 min read
The Financial Market's Handbook
What a year 2022 was, and what a first quarter of 2023 it has been. The market is finally cracking from the rapid rise in interest rates...
Robert Baharian
Mar 24, 20232 min read
The Fed is Going to Crash The Economy
We were all cheering for a hold on rates by the US Fed. Alas, we were greeted with a short jab to the guts with a 0.25 bps rise. It's...
Robert Baharian
Mar 19, 20232 min read
Has Inflation Peaked in Australia?
Following last week's events, which appear to have rolled into this week too, financial markets around the world are pricing in rate cuts...
Robert Baharian
Mar 13, 20233 min read
SVB's Collapse - A Classic Bank Run
This is the biggest and only story in town right now. Here's my take: SVB was the bank of choice for Silicon Valley's hot start-ups. As...
Robert Baharian
Mar 5, 20233 min read
Rate Rises & The US Borrower
Most headlines I read nowadays are about how much the average loan repayment has increased by and will increase by for Australians. You...
Robert Baharian
Feb 23, 20232 min read
The Monetary Lag
I'd like to think I'm a contrarian. I guess most investors do. Does that not make me contrarian? I have no idea. I'm human I guess. I'd...
Robert Baharian
Feb 12, 20233 min read
My Thoughts for 2023
This is my first official post for 2023. A little slower off the mark than I had expected, so here we are. And here's whats on my mind....
Robert Baharian
Dec 5, 20224 min read
Economic Gratitude
I'm writing this note as we edge closer towards the holiday season. And of course, as we are every year, we're shocked as to how quickly...
Robert Baharian
Nov 19, 20222 min read
Supply Chains Are Crashing
Last week I wrote a piece on inflation, US mid-terms and stocks. I outlined the fall of inflation since its peak of June 2022. We also...
Robert Baharian
Nov 13, 20223 min read
Inflation, US Mid-Terms, and Stocks
I didn't write a note last week. I almost felt like I couldn't keep up. There was so much going on. From inflation, to US mid-term...
Robert Baharian
Nov 1, 20224 min read
The Future of The Stock Market
When the market is volatile, investors yearn for stability, and when we have stablily, investors become complacent. The market will give...
Robert Baharian
Oct 23, 20222 min read
A Monster Tailwind for Markets
There are so many reasons to be gloomy in markets right now. I won't go through them. They're all wrapped up in September's -9.2% for the...
Robert Baharian
Oct 13, 20222 min read
The Financial Market's Handbook
Welcome back. I'd like to say it's nice to be back in Melbourne having returned from Bali, but I can't. Really. I mean, 6:30 am it's 26...
Robert Baharian
Sep 18, 20223 min read
Beating The Market Pros
This year is the year that active management will outperform. This is true, because every year is the year that active management will...
Robert Baharian
Sep 11, 20224 min read
The Craziest Chart I've Ever Seen
I've been thinking about the market a lot over the last couple of weeks. Not because I have nothing else to do, but because I am actively...
Robert Baharian
Sep 6, 20224 min read
The End of Rate Hikes?
Central banks around the world are hiking rates. This is not insightful. The RBA just hiked rates by 50 basis points to bring the...
Robert Baharian
Aug 28, 20222 min read
Bull or Bear Market Rally
Just when you think you've got this thing worked out, the market will pull an ace from under it's sleeve. It's a tough gig, financial...
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